This paper discusses semiparametric inference on hypotheses on the cointegration and the attractor spaces for $I(1)$ linear processes with moderately large cross-sectional dimension. The approach is based on empirical canonical correlations and functional approximation of Brownian motions, and it can be applied both to the whole system and or to any set of linear combinations of it. The hypotheses of interest are cast in terms of the number of stochastic trends in specified subsystems, and inference is based either on selection criteria or on sequences of tests. This paper derives the limit distribution of these tests in the special one-dimensional case, and discusses asymptotic properties of the derived inference criteria for hypotheses on the attractor space for sequentially diverging sample size and number of basis elements in the functional approximation. Finite sample properties are analyzed via a Monte Carlo study and an empirical illustration on exchange rates is provided.
翻译:本文讨论了具有中等大截面维度的$I(1)$线性过程在协整与吸引子空间假设上的半参数推断。该方法基于经验典型相关和布朗运动的函数逼近,既可应用于整个系统,也可应用于其任意线性组合集。所关注的假设以指定子系统中随机趋势的数量为表述形式,推断基于选择准则或检验序列进行。本文推导了特殊一维情形下这些检验的极限分布,并讨论了在样本量和函数逼近基元素数量依次发散时,针对吸引子空间假设的推断准则的渐近性质。通过蒙特卡洛研究分析了有限样本性质,并提供了汇率数据的实证示例。