In this article, we obtain, through statistical and numerical methods, a smooth function in the variables of the life stage and the concentration, which estimates the risk of exposure of methylmercury due to the unintentional consumption of shark in men from Mexico City. With methods of the Theory of Singularities and Dynamical Systems, the stability of this risk function was shown by analyzing the associated vector field. The region of risk was obtained in the variables as mentioned above, and the average risk in the whole region was calculated, which turns out to be a high index. The associated risk surface is a Hadamard surface embedded in the three-dimensional space $\mathbb{R}^3$, and the points where the curvature is zero determine critical ages important for the risk in men.
翻译:在本篇文章中,我们通过统计和数字方法,在生命阶段变量和浓度变量中取得了平稳的功能,这些变量估计了墨西哥城男子无意中消费鲨鱼导致甲基汞暴露的风险。根据《奇数和动态系统理论》的方法,通过分析相关矢量领域,显示了这一风险功能的稳定性。上述变量中获取了风险区域,并计算了整个区域的平均风险,结果发现这是一个高指数。相关风险表面是三维空间内嵌入的哈达马德表面 $\ mathbb{R ⁇ 3$,以及曲线零决定对男性风险至关重要的关键年龄的点。