Investigators are often interested in how a treatment affects an outcome for units responding to treatment in a certain way. We may wish to know the effect among units that, for example, meaningfully implemented an intervention, passed an attention check, or demonstrated some important mechanistic response. Simply conditioning on the observed value of the post-treatment variable introduces problematic biases. Further, the identification assumptions required of several existing strategies are often indefensible. We propose the Treatment Reactive Average Causal Effect (TRACE), which we define as the total effect of treatment in the group that, if treated, would realize a particular value of the relevant post-treatment variable. By reasoning about the effect among the "non-reactive" group, we can identify and estimate the range of plausible values for the TRACE. We demonstrate the use of this approach with three examples: (i) learning the effect of police-perceived race on police violence during traffic stops, a case where point identification may be possible; (ii) estimating effects of a community-policing intervention in Liberia, in communities that meaningfully implemented it, and (iii) studying how in-person canvassing affects support for transgender rights, among participants for whom the intervention would result in more positive feelings towards transgender people.
翻译:研究者常关注治疗如何影响以特定方式对治疗做出反应的个体单元的结果。例如,我们可能希望了解在那些有意义地实施了干预、通过了注意力检查或表现出重要机制性反应的单元中的效应。仅基于后处理变量的观测值进行条件化会引入有问题的偏差。此外,现有多种策略所需的识别假设往往难以成立。我们提出了治疗反应性平均因果效应(TRACE),其定义为在若接受治疗则会在相关后处理变量上实现特定值的群体中,治疗的总效应。通过推理“非反应性”群体中的效应,我们可以识别并估计TRACE的合理取值范围。我们通过三个示例展示了该方法的应用:(i)研究警察感知种族对交通拦截中警察暴力的影响,这是一个可能实现点识别的情况;(ii)评估利比里亚社区警务干预在有效实施该干预的社区中的效应;(iii)研究面对面游说如何影响对跨性别者权利的支持,重点关注干预会导致对跨性别者产生更积极感受的参与者群体。