Commercial electricity production from marine renewable sources is becoming a necessity at a global scale. Offshore wind and solar resources can be combined to reduce construction and maintenance costs. In this respect, the aim of this study is two-fold: i) analyse offshore wind and solar resource and their variability in the Mediterranean Sea at the annual and seasonal scales based on the recently published ERA5 reanalysis dataset, and; ii) perform a preliminary assessment of some important features of complementarity, synergy, and availability of the examined resources using an event-based probabilistic approach. A robust coefficient of variation is introduced to examine the variability of each resource and a joint coefficient of variation is implemented for the first time to evaluate the joint variability of offshore wind and solar potential. The association between the resources is examined by introducing a robust measure of correlation, along with the Pearson's r and Kendall's tau correlation coefficient and the corresponding results are compared. Several metrics are used to examine the degree of complementarity affected by variability and intermittency issues. Areas with high potential and low variability for both resources include the Aegean and Alboran seas, while significant synergy (over 52%) is identified in the gulfs of Lion, Gabes and Sidra, Aegean Sea and northern Cyprus Isl. The advantage of combining these two resources is highlighted at selected locations in terms of the monthly energy production.
翻译:海洋可再生能源的商业发电正在成为全球规模的必要商业电力生产。近海风能和太阳能资源可以结合起来,以减少建筑和维修费用。在这方面,本研究的目的有两个方面:一)根据最近出版的ERA5再分析数据集,每年和季节规模地分析地中海近海风能和太阳资源及其在地中海的变异性;二)利用基于事件的概率性办法,初步评估所审查资源的互补性、协同作用和可得性等一些重要特点;引入了强大的变异系数,以审查每种资源的变异性,并首次采用联合变异系数来评估近海风能和太阳能潜力的联合变异性;通过采用强有力的相关性衡量来审查地中海近海风能和太阳资源之间的关联性,同时对Pearson R和Kendall的 tau相关系数和相应结果进行比较;使用若干衡量标准来审查因变异性和间问题而受影响的互补性程度;对资源具有高度潜力和低变异性的地区,包括爱琴海和阿尔博兰海,首次实施了一个联合变异系数,以评价近海风能和太阳潜力的联合变异性系数;通过采用强有力的协同作用(超过52%),审查这些资源之间的关联性,审查地中海和地中海资源之间的关系,并结合了Pearsonson's Agas和Is的海海的海的海的海等地点的海能优势。