Dimension-Free Bounds for the Union-Closed Sets Conjecture

The union-closed sets conjecture states that in any nonempty union-closed family $\mathcal{F}$ of subsets of a finite set, there exists an element contained in at least a proportion $1/2$ of the sets of $\mathcal{F}$. Using the information-theoretic method, Gilmer \cite{gilmer2022constant} recently showed that there exists an element contained in at least a proportion $0.01$ of the sets of such $\mathcal{F}$. He conjectured that his technique can be pushed to the constant $\frac{3-\sqrt{5}}{2}\approx0.38197$ which was subsequently confirmed by several researchers \cite{sawin2022improved,chase2022approximate,alweiss2022improved,pebody2022extension}. Furthermore, Sawin \cite{sawin2022improved} showed that Gilmer's technique can be improved to obtain a bound better than $\frac{3-\sqrt{5}}{2}$. This paper further improves Gilmer's technique to derive new bounds in the optimization form for the union-closed sets conjecture. These bounds include Sawin's improvement as a special case. By providing cardinality bounds on auxiliary random variables, we make Sawin's improvement computable, and then evaluate it numerically which yields a bound around $0.38234$, slightly better than $\frac{3-\sqrt{5}}{2}$.