We investigate the treatment effect of the juvenile stay-at-home order (JSAHO) adopted in Saline County, Arkansas, from April 6 to May 7, in mitigating the growth of SARS-CoV-2 infection rates. To estimate the counterfactual control outcome for Saline County, we apply Difference-in-Differences and Synthetic Control design methodologies. Both approaches show that stay-at-home order (SAHO) significantly reduced the growth rate of the infections in Saline County during the period the policy was in effect, contrary to some of the findings in the literature that cast doubt on the general causal impact of SAHO with narrower scopes.
翻译:我们调查了4月6日至5月7日在阿肯色州萨林县通过的青少年住家令(JSAHO)对减轻SARS-COV-2感染率增长的影响;为估计萨林县的反事实控制结果,我们采用了差异和合成控制设计方法;两种方法都表明,留家令(SAHO)在政策生效期间显著降低了萨林县感染病例的增长率,这与文献中的一些结论相反,这些结论使人们对范围较窄的萨林县住家令(SAHO)的总体因果影响产生怀疑。