Sequential analysis encompasses simulation theories and methods where the sample size is determined dynamically based on accumulating data. Since the conceptual inception, numerous sequential stopping rules have been introduced, and many more are currently being refined and developed. Those studies often appear fragmented and complex, each relying on different assumptions and conditions. This article aims to deliver a comprehensive and up-to-date review of recent developments on sequential stopping rules, intentionally emphasizing standard and moderately generalized Monte Carlo methods, which have historically served, and likely will continue to serve, as fundamental bases for both theoretical and practical developments in stopping rules for general statistical inference, advanced Monte Carlo techniques and their modern applications. Building upon over a hundred references, we explore the essential aspects of these methods, such as core assumptions, numerical algorithms, convergence properties, and practical trade-offs to guide further developments, particularly at the intersection of sequential stopping rules and related areas of research.
翻译:序贯分析涵盖了样本量根据累积数据动态确定的模拟理论与方法。自概念提出以来,已涌现出大量序贯停止规则,且目前仍有众多规则在不断优化与发展。这些研究往往呈现碎片化与复杂性,各自依赖不同的假设与条件。本文旨在对序贯停止规则的最新进展进行全面而及时的综述,着重探讨标准及适度推广的蒙特卡洛方法——这些方法历来是通用统计推断、先进蒙特卡洛技术及其现代应用中停止规则理论与实践发展的基础,并可能持续发挥这一作用。基于百余篇参考文献,我们深入剖析了这些方法的核心要素,包括基本假设、数值算法、收敛性质与实践权衡,以指导后续研究,特别是在序贯停止规则与相关研究领域的交叉点。