Motivated by the goal of forecasting public sentiments, we consider a forecasting problem in the context of the Mean Field Games theory. We develop a numerical method, which is a version of the so-called convexification method. We provide theoretical convergence analysis that establishes global convergence of the method with a convergence rate. We also conduct numerical experiments that demonstrate the accurate performance of the convexification technique and highlight some promising features of this approach.
翻译:受预测公众情绪目标的驱动,我们在平均场博弈理论框架下研究一个预测问题。我们开发了一种数值方法,该方法属于所谓的凸化方法的变体。我们提供了理论收敛性分析,证明了该方法具有收敛速率的全局收敛性。同时,我们进行了数值实验,验证了凸化技术的准确性能,并突显了该方法的若干有前景的特性。